The Underrated Inflation Hedge

Economics
Financial Markets
Author

Stephen Kirchner

Published

January 27, 2010

Fama and French discuss the relative merits of TIPS versus cash as inflation hedges.  Cash is an effective inflation hedge because short-term interest rates offer compensation for actual and expected inflation, with very low risk.  As French notes:

Because the one-month T-bill rate changes to accommodate changes in expected inflation, unexpected inflation does not have the compounding effect that it has with longer-term bonds.

Of course, this assumes that short-term interest rates remain market-determined rather than set by regulation.